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Complete Guide

Indicator Explanations

Quick reference guide to all BitcoinIQ indicators. Learn what each measures, key levels to watch, and how to interpret signals. Click "View Indicator" for live charts, data, and AI-powered analysis.

Macro Indicators

Global Liquidity

Tracks combined money supply (M2) and central bank balance sheets across 16+ economies including US, EU, China, Japan, and UK. Rising liquidity historically correlates with Bitcoin bull markets. YoY growth rate turning positive has historically preceded favourable conditions.

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Fed Liquidity

Fed balance sheet minus Reverse Repo (RRP) and Treasury General Account (TGA). More responsive than Global Liquidity for US market moves. Increases have historically correlated with risk-on environments; decreases with tightening conditions.

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Fed Policy Regime

Tracks Fed monetary policy stance: QE vs QT and rate direction. QE + rate cuts have historically been the most favourable combination for Bitcoin. QT + rate hikes the least. Policy pivots have historically preceded major market turns.

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ISM Business Cycle

Manufacturing PMI measuring economic expansion (>50) or contraction (<50). A key component of the Macro Cycle Index — rising ISM with expanding liquidity is historically the strongest backdrop for Bitcoin.

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On-Chain Indicators

MVRV Z-Score

Compares Bitcoin's market cap to its realized cap — the aggregate cost basis of all holders, where each coin is valued at the price it last moved on-chain. Z-Score >7 has historically coincided with cycle tops; <0 means holders are underwater — a condition that has historically preceded strong long-term returns.

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SOPR

Spent Output Profit Ratio - measures whether coins being moved are in profit (>1) or loss (<1). SOPR resetting to 1 during bull markets = healthy consolidation. Sustained <1 readings signal capitulation.

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Market Structure Indicators

Bitcoin Dominance

Bitcoin's share of the Bitcoin + altcoin market. Rising dominance = capital flowing to safety (early bull or bear). Falling dominance = rotation into altcoins (historically a late-bull signal). Watch for divergences with BTC price.

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Sentiment Indicators

Fear & Greed Index

Market sentiment from 0 (Extreme Fear) to 100 (Extreme Greed). Contrarian sentiment indicator: Extreme Fear (<25) has historically coincided with capitulation bottoms; Extreme Greed (>75) with frothy tops. Best read alongside other indicators.

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Composite Indicators

Macro Cycle Index

BitcoinIQ's composite indicator combining Global Liquidity, ISM, and Fed Policy to identify current cycle phase. Five tidal zones from strongly bullish to strongly bearish. The tide that lifts or sinks all boats.

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Market Pulse Index

Short-term market health combining MVRV Z-Score, SOPR, Fear & Greed, RSI, and Bitcoin Dominance. Where Macro Cycle sets the tide, Market Pulse reads the waves — revealing whether the market is overheated or undervalued.

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Cycle Position

The complete picture. Combines Macro Cycle (long-term forces) with Market Pulse (short-term waves) into one of five positioning zones — from historically accumulative conditions to elevated-stress readings.

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Performance Indicators

Track Record

See how our Dynamic DCA Strategy has signalled major turning points — COVID crash, cycle tops, bear market bottoms — and what happened next.

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Quick Links

Our MethodologyWhat is Cycle Analysis?Cycle PositionMacro Cycle + Pulse Index combined
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NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE

BitcoinIQ provides educational content and analysis tools for informational purposes only. This is not investment, financial, or trading advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always do your own research and consult with qualified financial advisors before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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