₿itcoinIQ
Complete Guide

Indicator Explanations

Quick reference guide to all BitcoinIQ indicators. Learn what each measures, key levels to watch, and how to interpret signals. Click "View Indicator" for live charts, data, and AI-powered analysis.

Macro Indicators

Global Liquidity

Tracks combined money supply (M2) across major central banks: US, EU, China, Japan, and UK. Rising liquidity historically correlates with Bitcoin bull markets. Watch for YoY growth rate turning positive as a bullish signal.

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Fed Liquidity

Fed balance sheet minus Reverse Repo (RRP) and Treasury General Account (TGA). More responsive than Global Liquidity for US market moves. Increases signal risk-on conditions; decreases signal tightening.

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Fed Policy Regime

Tracks Fed monetary policy stance: QE vs QT and rate direction. QE + rate cuts = maximum bullish. QT + rate hikes = maximum bearish. Policy pivots often precede major market turns by 3-6 months.

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ISM Business Cycle

Manufacturing PMI measuring economic expansion (>50) or contraction (<50). Combined with liquidity data, helps identify macro regime: Expansion, Stagflation, Late Cycle, or Contraction. Best for timing cycle phases.

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On-Chain Indicators

MVRV Z-Score

Compares Bitcoin's market cap to realized cap (cost basis of all coins). Z-Score >7 historically signals tops; <0 signals generational buying opportunities. Currently one of the most reliable cycle indicators.

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SOPR

Spent Output Profit Ratio - measures whether coins being moved are in profit (>1) or loss (<1). SOPR resetting to 1 during bull markets = healthy consolidation. Sustained <1 readings signal capitulation.

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Market Structure Indicators

Bitcoin Dominance

Bitcoin's percentage of total crypto market cap. Rising dominance = capital flowing to safety (early bull or bear). Falling dominance = altcoin season (late bull). Watch for divergences with BTC price.

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Sentiment Indicators

Fear & Greed Index

Market sentiment from 0 (Extreme Fear) to 100 (Extreme Greed). Contrarian indicator: Extreme Fear (<25) often = buying opportunity. Extreme Greed (>75) often = time for caution. Best used alongside other indicators.

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Composite Indicators

Macro Cycle Index

BitcoinIQ's composite indicator combining Global Liquidity, ISM, and Fed Policy to identify current cycle phase. Four stages: Accumulation, Expansion, Distribution, Contraction. The tide that lifts or sinks all boats.

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Market Pulse Index

Short-term market health combining MVRV Z-Score, SOPR, Fear & Greed, RSI, and Bitcoin Dominance. Where Macro Cycle sets the tide, Market Pulse reads the waves — revealing whether the market is overheated or undervalued.

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Market Positioning

The complete picture. Combines Macro Cycle (long-term forces) with Market Pulse (short-term waves) to reveal optimal positioning zones — whether it's time to accumulate, hold, or take profits.

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Historical Indicators

Historical Cycle Phases

Analysis of past Bitcoin cycles (2017, 2021) showing how indicators performed at major tops and bottoms. Learn from history to recognize similar patterns in real-time.

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Quick Links

Our MethodologyWhat is Cycle Analysis?Market PositioningMacro Cycle + Pulse Index combined
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NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE

BitcoinIQ provides educational content and analysis tools for informational purposes only. This is not investment, financial, or trading advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always do your own research and consult with qualified financial advisors before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.