₿itcoinIQ
Track Record
Cycle-Smart Bitcoin Investing
Never stop stacking — just stack smarter.
Explore all 20 indicators yourself, each with AI-generated analysis in plain English — or just apply BitcoinIQ's monthly Factor as a multiplier to your regular Bitcoin investment. Or both.
Many investors do one of three things:
BitcoinIQ was built to solve all three. By following a simple Cycle Factor every month, you'll always know whether conditions favor:
On-chain, sentiment, macro & market internals
Distilled into one Cycle Position
Your monthly bitcoin investment multiplier
Never stop stacking — just stack smarter.
The model stacks more in the High Opportunity zone (Winter, typically near cycle lows) and less in the Extended zone (Summer, typically near cycle highs).
Every row below is the signal our live engine produced out-of-sample — on data the method was never tuned on — and what happened next.
No cherry-picked winners. This is every signal the engine has fired — including the months it turned defensive and Bitcoin kept climbing anyway. Pre-registered before testing; nothing added, deleted, or relabeled in hindsight.
| Date | Season | Cycle Position | Cycle Factor | BTC | Signal | What Happened |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2022 | Winter | High Opportunity | 2.0x | $20,050 | On-chain valuation deeply depressed | BTC bottomed near $16.5k, then began a multi-year climb |
| Dec 2022 | Winter | High Opportunity | 2.0x | $16,542 | Cycle low — valuation at its most depressed | BTC rallied to new all-time highs over the next two years |
| Dec 2023 | Spring | Neutral | 1.0x | $42,284 | Recovery matured — valuation normalized to neutral, still warming | BTC broke its prior all-time high in early 2024 |
| Mar 2024 | Summer | Extended | 0.5x | $71,280 | Valuation stretched as BTC broke its prior ATH | Accumulation eased into strength |
| Nov 2024 | Summer | Extended | 0.5x | $96,408 | Extended readings through six figures | BTC pushed past $100k; signal stayed defensive |
| May 2025 | Summer | Extended | 0.5x | $104,592 | Sustained extended valuation above $100k | Accumulation kept dialed back near the highs |
| Oct 2025 | Autumn | Neutral | 1.0x | $108,241 | Valuation cooling from extended highs | BTC pulled back over the following months |
| Feb 2026 | Winter | Opportunity | 1.5x | $65,884 | Pullback returned valuation to supportive levels | Developing... |
| Aug 2026 | ? | ? | ? | ? | Start your free 30-day trial → | |
Out-of-sample record, Jul 2022 – present (~one Bitcoin cycle). Past performance does not guarantee future results. This framework is for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice.
Our Cycle Position maintains its objective reading throughout the cycle — especially important during periods of extreme fear, when emotion runs hottest and pressures people to stop stacking, or even scares them out of their carefully accumulated positions.
By late 2022 the mood had curdled. The FTX exchange had imploded, contagion was spreading, and the headlines had moved on from volatile to finished — Bitcoin, they said, was over. Fear & Greed sat pinned in Extreme Fear for weeks, and the gauge was telling the truth: people really were that afraid. The crowd that traded on the feeling sold into the low.
BitcoinIQ read that same fear as its opposite. On-chain valuation was as depressed as it had ever been, so the engine held its most constructive reading — High Opportunity — and set the month's factor to 2.0×: stack more, not less, precisely when it felt most wrong. Bitcoin bottomed near $16,500 that December and began a multi-year climb to new all-time highs.
That's the discipline the signal exists to defend. Not a prediction that the bottom was in — nobody had that — but a rule that sizes your stacking by where valuation sits in the cycle, so the month of maximum fear becomes the month of maximum accumulation — instead of the one that got away.
The Validated Result
~42% more Bitcoin
by sizing every buy to the cycle
Sizing your monthly buys by Cycle Position — more when valuation was historically depressed, less when it was stretched — accumulated about 42% more Bitcoin than fixed monthly DCA: roughly 27 of those points from timing, and the rest from the ~12% more capital the signal pulls in at the cycle's lows. Invest the same total dollars a fixed plan would spend — without the extra capital — and timing alone still accounts for ~27% more Bitcoin. Measured out-of-sample, over roughly one Bitcoin cycle, on data the method was never tuned on.
One Dashboard — Not Multiple Websites and Subscriptions
20 indicators refreshed automatically, each with AI-generated analysis explaining what the current values mean for your investment strategy. Charts spanning 30 days to 8 years, each overlaid with Bitcoin price.
BitcoinIQ democratizes institutional-grade cycle analysis — here is what you get for only $20/month with CycleLock — that's $1 per indicator per month:
What's the cycle?
What's the market?
What's the signal?