Track Record

Cycle-Smart Bitcoin Investing

Never stop stacking — just stack smarter.

Explore 20 indicators with AI-generated analysis yourself — or just apply BitcoinIQ's monthly Factor as a multiplier to your regular Bitcoin investment. Or both.

The Tide

Macro Cycle

Long-term market
forces

Global LiquidityFed PolicyISM
The Wave

Pulse Index

Short-term market behavior

Fear & GreedMVRVSOPRRSIBitcoin Dominance
The Signal

Monthly Factor

Your monthly bitcoin investment multiplier

2.0x = historically favorable0x = elevated risk

Track Record

Never stop stacking — just stack smarter.
Invest more in the High Opportunity zone (typically near cycle lows), less in the High Stress zone (typically near cycle highs).
Below are key signals from our model and what happened next.

DateMacroPulseCycle PositionDCA FactorBTCSignalWhat Happened
Dec 2019+50-27High Opportunity2.0x$7,200Fear dip in bull macroBTC rallied 9x over next 2 years
Mar 2020+95-35High Opportunity2.0x$6,400COVID crash — High Opportunity signalBTC rallied to $60k+ within a year
Aug 2021+55+13High Stress0x$47,100First top warning — macro falling + greedBTC peaked at $61k, then fell 75%
Oct 2021-35+13High Stress0x$61,300Macro crashed — 85-day lag aheadBTC fell 75% over next 13 months
Jun 2022-85-32High Opportunity2.0x$20,100Deep bear + fear = opportunityBTC bottomed near $16k, then rallied
Dec 2022-100-21High Opportunity2.0x$16,500Cycle bottom — capitulationBTC rallied 340% to new ATH
Jan 2023-60+7High Opportunity2.0x$23,200Macro turning up from bottomBTC rallied to $70k+ by Mar 2024
Mar 2024-40+7Opportunity1.2x$70,000Macro falling but low — opportunity zoneBTC consolidated $60-70k for 6 months
Mar 2025+50-25High Opportunity2.0x$96,500Macro surging + fear = max opportunityBTC rallied to new ATH $114k within 3 months
Oct 2025+36-21Neutral1.0x$108,200Macro softening — transition periodDeveloping...
Mar 2026?????Start free trial to see live signals →

Past performance does not guarantee future results. This framework is for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice.

Backtested Performance — Robust Across Intensities

We tested the Cycle-Smart DCA signal at three intensity settings over a 90-month backtest (Jul 2018 – Dec 2025). All three configurations outperformed $500/month fixed DCA — the signal's edge holds across factor ranges, not just at one setting.

IntensityFactor RangeTotal Returnvs Fixed DCA
Fixed DCA (baseline)1.0× constant+449%
Conservative0.5× – 1.5×+487%+38pp
Standard (default)0.25× – 2.0×+501%+52pp
Aggressive0.1× – 3.0×+508%+59pp

See full backtest methodology →

Explore BitcoinIQ

One Dashboard — Not Multiple Websites and Subscriptions

20 indicators refreshed automatically, each with AI-generated analysis explaining what the current values mean for your investment strategy. Charts spanning 30 days to 8 years, each overlaid with Bitcoin price.

BitcoinIQ democratizes institutional-grade cycle analysis — here is what you get for only $20/month with CycleLock — that's $1 per indicator per month:

Macro Cycle

What's the cycle?

Macro Cycle Index
Global Liquidity Index
Global Liquidity Direction
Global M2 Supply
Central Bank Balances
BIS Cross-Border Credit
Fed Policy
Fed Liquidity
ISM Business Cycle

Pulse Index

What's the market?

Pulse Index
MVRV Z-Score
SOPR Profit/Loss Ratio
Fear & Greed Index
RSI Momentum
Bitcoin Dominance

Price & Signal

What's the signal?

Monthly DCA Factor
Cycle Position
Bitcoin Price & Trends
Bull Market Support Band
200W Moving Average